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How to Size Up a Market in PPC

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This article is part of a 4-part series on Getting Started with Pay-Per-Click and Google AdWords. If you'd like to review these posts, click the links below:

 

In this second post of four on getting started with PPC and Google AdWords, we look at how to size up a market.  (If you missed the first post, read that one first - Getting Started with Pay-Per-Click and Google AdWords).  The goal today is to know whether there's enough traffic to justify an invest PPC advertising.

As such, not every market drives online volume comparable to its brick and mortar activity. So, to determine whether PPC makes sense for your niche, consider these 3 questions:

  • How strong is demand for this product?
  • How competitive is this market?
  • How much will clicks cost?

How strong is demand for this product?

Come up with a keyword phrase you think people will use most often when searching for your product. Now go to the Google Traffic Estimator Sandbox and enter your keyword phrase.  If we leave the second field in #2 blank, Google will return traffic estimates based on a payout sufficient to yield the top position on the page 85% of the time.

The tool gives a Google search volume estimate on a 1 to 5 scale, plus an estimate of the number of clicks you can get at a given bid price.  Now, we can see whether the search volume for a given product is healthy or anemic.  These are the traffic estimates for the terms we entered:

How competitive is this market?

At the Google homepage, you can get a fast and dirty idea of how competitive a market is. Figure if there are 50 or more bidders on a search term, it's cutthroat but very lucrative for the winners. Fifteen or fewer, it's relatively easy to compete although there may not be a big revenue base to go after.

Enter the term weight loss. Thirty-three pages of paid ads turn up for about 327 bidders. Enter the term cockatoo. Only four bidders appear on the first page and that's it.  But, the real measure of competition is the bid price per click, so let's turn to that.

How much will clicks cost?

As we saw earlier, the Google Traffic Estimator Sandbox provides a way to check the price for various keywords without having to log into your AdWords account.

Assume you're selling a $50 weight loss supplement, the profit is $40, and the conversion rate is 1%. This means 99 of 100 clicks don't buy. At the high end of $2.73 a click for the broadest version of the term weight loss, you'll eat about $270 before you make your first sale. Moreover, this scenario would repeat itself 46 times a day! Ouch.

For the exact term, weight loss, the high end runs $870 per day. At a $40 profit per sale, you need nearly 22 sales to break even. This would require an 8.6% conversion rate. By bidding for less competitive positions on the page (to reduce your outlays) and by improving ad copy and landing page effectiveness (to boost conversion rates), a profitable opportunity might exist with this keyword phrase, but you need to be careful.

Conclusion

In our next post, we'll take you through the process of creating a Google AdWords account, delve deeper into the mindset needed to succeed and look at some advanced tools Google provides.

Posted by Mike Volpe on Thu, Mar 20, 2008 @ 10:32 AM

COMMENTS

We are now just finalizing our intial, start-up plan for SEO and are beginning the process of establishing a PPC campaign (good timing :)). In reference to the section describing how to estimate click costs on target words/phrases, are you assuming that the total searches for that word/phrase will click on the ad? Or is there a formula to determine the % of searches that will actually click on your ad and result in a click-fee?
You used 'weight loss' as an example and in the AdWords tool, it portrays a 1-3 estimate ad position. In such a highly competitive market, how do you ensure the 1-3 real estate?

posted on Thursday, March 20, 2008 at 1:47 PM by Christina Pappas


@Christina - Glad we can help. Basically, the higher your bid, the higher your position on the page, and the mosre traffic you will get. You can also get higher by having a slightly higher click rate.
Overall paid ads get about 25% of the total clicks on the page. The top paid ad gets about 7% of the search volume, and then it goes to about 4%, then 3% then 2% then 1% and on down.
Google will do the estimating for you, so based on what you can bid, it will tell you about how many clicks you will get and what it will cost.
PS - As a HubSpot customer, there is an archived webinar about how to get started in PPC that is really good. Email me if you can't find it.

posted on Thursday, March 20, 2008 at 10:55 PM by Mike Volpe


I sat in on the Business Blogging Webinar presented by Mike Volpe yesterday. As a blogging advocate and SEO/SEM expert myself, I still learned quite a bit. These guys really know their stuff.
I wrote a bit about what I learned and how valuable it was to me on my blog at http://rfwebstudio.com/2008/03/21/hubspot-business-blogging-webinar/

posted on Thursday, March 20, 2008 at 11:23 PM by Russell


Excellent idea to do a four-part series on AdWords, and the first two posts have been fantastic. A great resource for companies trying to do AdWords themselves is the AdWords Learning Center: http://www.google.com/adwords/learningcenter/index.html.
And a word of advice to businesses, if you're going to hire a marketing firm to run AdWords campaigns for you, make sure they are Qualified Individuals or Companies in the Google Advertising Professionals Program.

posted on Friday, March 21, 2008 at 8:07 AM by Paul


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